The FAA says the commercial drone market could triple in size by 2023

The Federal Aviation Administration has published its forecast for the next two decades (through NextGov ), which anticipates what will come for the world of aviation between now and 2039. It should be noted that the The commercial drone market is growing faster than anticipated, and could triple between now and 2023, while the non-commercial drone market appears to be slowing.

The report covers a broad view of the field of aviation, including domestic and international airline markets, cargo air traffic, space traffic and unmanned aircraft. He says that the drone systems "have been experiencing healthy growth in the United States and around the world" in the past five years, and points out that this growth has caused some problems, since it covers everything from amateur pilots to professional platforms that share the same airspace with their larger counterparts, with crew.

When it comes to drone models (essentially non-commercial devices), the agency says that as of December 31, "more than 900,000 owners have registered" in the FAA since it ordered the online registration for drones in 2015, and the administration estimates that there are around 1.25 million drones in operation (the individual model drones do not need to be registered). It also predicts that in the next five years, the market will slow down as prices stabilize.

. The report also examines trends when it comes to what is described as non-model drones (devices focused on commercial purposes) – of which each device must be registered. For this category, "the monthly registration rate, almost 15,000, is almost 3 times higher than the rate at which aircraft owners who are not models registered their ship during the same period last year." The administration says that as of the end of 2018, more than 27,000 drones that are not models have been registered.

While the model drone market appears to be declining, the commercial aircraft market is accelerating, and the FAA expects this growth to continue. The registration rate will exceed 44 percent from last year's figures, and it is expected that by 2023, the market will have tripled in size, with an estimated 823,000 unmanned aircraft flying at that time. The report says the number of commercial drones that will fly by the end of this year (or early next year) will exceed the administration's estimate for 2022 of last year's report.

With this growth will come new uses. Companies like Amazon, Google, Walmart and even 7-Eleven have thought or experienced with deliveries through drones, while a Baltimore Hospital used a drone to deliver an organ to a patient last month. The report highlights that as drones "become more efficient and operationally safe, battery life expands and integration continues, new business models will begin to develop," such as new medical or delivery services, or operations like search and rescue.

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